Finance

Stock Market Top — Are We There Yet?

The US stock market appears to be in transition toward a significant top Several key market top indicators are flashing caution (but they are still mixed) Greater selectivity toward higher quality and larger-capitalization is in order Above average cash levels may be appropriate The stock market is in a tender condition.  Caution and selectivity, and…

What Would It Take For The Prime U.S. Workforce To Fully Recover?

At last year’s Jackson Hole Symposium, Fed Chair Janet Yellen delivered an extended analysis of “Labor Market Dynamics and Monetary Policy”. Her speech essentially reviewed the ongoing debate over the mix of cyclical versus structural factors in employment since the Great Recession. Here is an updated series of charts illustrating some structural changes in the…

View From The Hill: August 11, 2015

Market Commentary If anything, today’s market activity showed us that the bears are willing and able to impose their will upon the equity markets and are far from ceding control to the bulls. However the successive series of lower intraday highs and higher intraday lows suggest that a showdown is not far off. Market breadth…