Finance

The Only Remaining China-Based Trade I Like

The Shanghai Composite Index (SSEC) plunged 8.5% to start trading for the week. The ripple effects were wide and far-reaching even as arguments continue floating that the collapse in China’s stock market matters little outside of China and does not truly reflect on economic conditions in the country. Apple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook summed up…

The U.S In Recession? The World?

This headline “US Recession Imminent – Durable Goods Drop For 5th Month, Core CapEx Collapses”, following on “Forget Recession: According To Caterpillar There Is A Full-Blown Global Depression”, impelled me to check to see if I’d missed something. Term Spreads The first thing that I wanted to inspect was the term spread, in this case the 10…

What About Diamonds?

The diamond market has never came close to the insane levels reached during the investment boom which peaked in 1980. Diamonds entered a 37 year bear market, which often follows such a major Phase Transition. This warns that we could yet still see the final major low unfold in 2016 on an annual closing basis…

Saudis Expand Price War Downstream

The undisputed king of oil and gas is making some moves that could change the face of the global refining sector.  In June 2015, Saudi Arabia pumped 10.564 million barrels a day, a record level. As if being the world’s biggest exporter of oil was not enough, the desert kingdom is now looking to conquer…