Finance

The American Consumer Bounces Back

The American consumer has returned in full force. Consumer spending has climbed 0.6 percent in the last two months, according to figures from the U.S. Commerce Department. Households have splurged on major appliances, 4×4’s, televisions and clothing, boosting the economy at the fastest pace in 11 years. According to Michael Gapen, the New York-based chief…

India Precious Metals Imports In Overdrive

It must be nearly impossible for an objective investor to follow global financial activities. For example, India’s official reports indicate an enormous amount gold and silver imports for November. This news is hard to find unless you know how and where to look for it. Do a Google search and you will see sparse reports by bullion sites and alternative…

20 December 2014 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Sign

Blue Line 4 Week Average The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 280,000 to 294,000 (consensus 290,000) vs the 280,000 reported. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average moved from 298,750 (reported last week as 298,750) to…

Ten Clean Energy Stocks For 2014: Out With The Old

Plummeting oil prices, global economic weakness, and the Republicans’ win in the US midterms have delivered a triple-whammy to clean energy stocks over the last few months. Many of the stock declines are justified more by headlines than fundamentals. My 10 Clean Energy Stocks for 2014 model portfolio has suffered, especially the riskier growth stocks. The strong…

EC If Everyone

It ain’t so much the things we know that get us into trouble.  It’s the things we know that just ain’t so.   — Attributed to several American writers The most important events in 2014 were not anticipated.  At the end of 2013 and early 2014, parallels between 1914 and 2014 were focused on the disputes in the South China Sea, not Russia seeking to…

Another Year Of Macro-Driven Investment Success

As the year approaches its finale, money managers are celebrating their triumphs (and minimizing any failures). The good news is that there’s ample opportunity for emphasizing the former. Barring a year-end surprise, US stocks and bonds in particular are on track to end 2014 with solid gains. Wall Street won’t be shy in taking most…