Finance

Jobs: Shale States Vs Non-Shale States

Consider: lower oil prices unequivocally “make everyone better off”, Right? Wrong. First: new oil well permits collapse 40% in November; why is this an issue? Because since December 2007, or roughly the start of the global depression, shale oil states have added 1.36 million jobs while non-shale states have lost 424,000 jobs. *  *  * This should…

The Illusion Of Full Employment And Technology

Recently, Tim Duy wrote an interesting piece entitled “Yes, I am Optimistic” wherein he stated that: “The lesson no one wants to draw from this recovery is that the US economy is both stronger and more resilient than commonly believed. Do not dismiss the real improvement in the economy since 2009. It is not unimportant that 2014…

EC Third Quart

On Monday, the third quarter earnings season will officially close out, with H&R Block as the final S&P 500 company to report. The season is ending with impressive earnings growth of 11.7%, paired with revenue growth of 4.8%, proving that companies are still closely managing costs and using share buybacks to get a pop on…

ADP: US Private Payrolls Increased 208k In November

US companies added 208,000 workers in November, according to this morning’s ADP Employment Report. The gain was a bit softer than the consensus forecast,but overall the labor market continues to show a solid rate of growth. “At this pace the unemployment rate will drop by half a percentage point per annum,” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics,…

The Faux Nikkei

“Hey, Nikkei, you’re so fine, you’re so fine you blow my mind, hey, Nikkei!” OK, as a child of the 80s, I couldn’t help myself. Anyway……. The Japanese stock market seems like it’s just doing great guns. I mean, goodness gracious me, look at this – gee whillikers! Just for kicks, I decided to see…

Housing Fraud Is Back – Real Estate Industry Intentionally Inflat...

Almost 40% of appraisers surveyed from Sept. 15 through Nov. 7 reported experiencing pressure to inflate values, according to Allterra Group LLC, a for-profit appraiser-advocacy firm based in Salisbury, Md. That figure was 37% in the survey for the previous year. “If you thought what was happening before was an embarrassment, wait until the second…

EC Oil Market

During the Great Financial Crisis, Hyman Minsky was rediscovered. Minsky’s insight was that long periods of steadily rising asset prices encourages financial engineering and leveraged bets that assume a continued rise in asset prices. The so-called Minsky moment comes when the asset prices stop rising and even fall. The virtuous cycle turns vicious.  We are now…

Ascena Beats Q1 Earnings Despite Soft Comps, Retains View

Ascena Retail Group Inc. (ASNA – Snapshot Report) reported first-quarter fiscal 2015 adjusted earnings from continuing operations of 28 cents per share, a penny ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate and in line with the company’s expectations. However, adjusted earnings fell 22.2% from the prior-year earnings of 36 cents per share due to negative comparable store sales (comps)…