Finance

The German Euro Is Overvalued

I keep telling people that the German euro is undervalued, but some folks seem not to believe me. (See the comments section from this post last year for an example.) But this is a really big deal. The dominant narrative about the eurozone crisis is that fiscally irresponsible countries like Greece were bringing the once-proud currency to its knees,…

Holiday Shopping: Olaf Dethrones Frosty While Elsa Reigns Supreme

Last month, I wrote that pre-holiday shipments of Frozen merchandise pointed to a blowout year for Disney (DIS). Today, I have some updated numbers to share from global trade site Panjiva. Some points worth noting: Olaf is the new Frosty. Olaf merchandise shipments outpaced Frosty the Snowman merchandise shipments by 77%, and this despite Frosty having a multi-decade head start on the…

Adtech Is Not For You

Like many, I set aside 15 minutes to read Aleph’s latest blog post about the AdTech industry and what engineers should devote their time and brains into these companies. I know and respect the people at Aleph and as a person believe each is entitled to have an opinion, we don’t always have to agree.. But, as a…

And The Biggest Winner From The OPEC Price War Is…

“This is a golden time window to acquire more strategic oil at lower costs,” notes one Hong-Kong based analyst, as Bloomberg confirms what we have noted here and here, that China is emerging as the winner from OPEC’s battle with rival oil producers as the world’s biggest energy consumer stockpiles crude. 84 tankers remain en route to Chinese destinations… Bloomberg confirms,

Too Much Pie

Podcast: Play in new window | Play in new window (Duration: 13:17 — 6.1MB) DOW – 51 = 17,776 SPX – 14 = 2053 NAS -64 = 4727 10 YR YLD + .02 = 2.22% OIL + 3.22 = 69.37 GOLD + 44.30 = 1213.80 SILV + .88 = 16.56 Last week I said that you can never eat…

Turn Of The Screw

Good evening, Slopers. I was going to bombard you with ETF charts, to assuage my utterly misplaced blogger’s guilt, but I landed on the first one – DBC – and figured it was enough. Allow me to share this with you, augmented with some embellishments: You will note something quite interesting: up until October 2011,…

Dow Jones Observations

Oct 15th – Nov 6th 17 trading sessions 1705 point gain on Dow 4 down trading sessions with all closing off the lows and near the highs but on one day Nov 7th – Nov 28th 15 trading sessions 274 point gain 4 down sessions with all but one closing at/near the highs While it’s…

EC Gold And Co

CHF, We Declare Thee Garbage It is by now well known that after several weeks of intense government propaganda, the Gold Initiative in Switzerland failed rather spectacularly (78% voted against keeping the Keynesian dunderheads running the SNB in check). The propaganda machinery got into full swing a few weeks ago when the “yes” vote unexpectedly…

Confirmed Distribution

It has been a while, but markets had their first day of distribution in weeks. The selling didn’t clock up big percentage losses, although the Russell 2000 suffered the worst of the selling. There was still a case of post-holiday trading volume, but many indices are looking at ‘bearish evening star’ set ups. The Russell…

Omnicom, Chart Of The Day

The Chart of the Day belongs to Omnicom Group (NYSE:OMC). I found the stock by sorting the All Time High list for the stocks having the most frequent new highs in the last month then used the Flipchart feature to review the charts. Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 10/24 the stock gained…