Reader Ed Hanson makes a puzzling assertion regarding trade policy measures announced by Mr. Trump, and the evolution of policy uncertainty as measured by Baker, Bloom and Davis: As for the uncertainty, I can not make your author’s calculation but I can look at the front page of the policyuncertainty.com site and look at the headline monthly index they present….
What a difference nine years makes. On March 9, 2009, the market capitalization of Apple, Google (now Alphabet), Amazon, and Microsoft stood at $74 billion, $92 billion, $26 billion, and $135 billion. Their combined market cap: $327 billion. Data Source for all charts/tables herein: YCharts. Nine years later these four companies would grow to become…
In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we go through the case to be bearish and how you can protect your life savings and even profit from another downside move in the market. If you didn’t capitalize on the trading opportunities last week then watch this video right now for the trading opportunities next week.
In this video we talk through the global risk radar, at the risks on the economic front, examining the stage of the business cycle and monetary policy in developed economies and emerging economies. Finally we get into the risks and opportunities across the major asset classes, taking a close look at unexpected risks within traditional…
Fundamental Forecast for CNH: Neutral China’s Foreign Minister will attend the China-Japan Economic Dialogue in Tokyo, after it suspended for 8-years. China has been strengthening connections with other neighboring countries since the end of March. China will release 2018’1Q Gross Domestic Product as well as March Fixed Assets Investments. The Chinese Yuan rose against the U.S. Dollar this…
Over the last several weeks I have been addressing the potential for a reflexive rally from market support. I laid out three possible paths for the rally which I want to review. Let’s step back to March 23. Nearly a month later, and we are watching the “pathways” play out very close to our “guess.” “With the breakdown of the…
Admittedly, the way we phrased the title of this article is telling. Tencent Holdings is a super star for 13 years in a row when it comes to its stock price. After so many years of continuous rises this stock looks tired, at least for the short into the medium term, not necessarily the long…
The US, the UK, and France launched airstrikes against Syria, attempting to destroy chemical weapons that the Assad regime previously used against its citizens. Russian President Putin and Iran have condemned the attack and warned of the consequences. Trump called it a “sustained response” while UK Theresa May said it was limited. Tensions around Syria…
The market appears to be painting JPMorgan (JPM) with the same brush as Wells Fargo (WFC) and Citigroup (C) after their quarterly releases, but the fact is that JPMorgan’s report represented all around strength and offers useful read-throughs for what to expect from pure-play investment banks, trust banks and regional operators in the coming days. It isn’t hard to appreciate…
Ping An Insurance (Group) plans to carve out its Ping An Healthcare and Technology (also known as Ping An Good Doctor APP) and IPO in Hong Kong for $1 billion at a valuation of $5 billion (see story). The company plans to go public in the middle of May. In May 2016, Ping An Healthcare and…
