Finance

The Perfect Energy Storm

Markets are currently assuming that oil prices are capped right now and that with increased shale production in the US, we’re unlikely to see higher prices anytime soon. The Story of Low Oil Prices All we’ve heard from the financial news are stories about a glut of oil inventory, Puplava noted, based on the boom…

Bear Of The Day: L Brands (LB)

Based on Columbus, OH, L Brands (LB – Free Report) is a retail company with Victoria’s Secret, PINK, Bath & Body Works, La Senza, and Henri Bendel included in its brand portfolio. LB operates over 3,000 company-owned specialty stores throughout the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Ireland, and China, as well as more than 800 franchised locations worldwide. The…

March 2018 Import And Export Price Year-Over-Year Inflation Rate

Year-over-year import and export price inflation moderately grew. Analyst Opinion of the Import / Export Price Situation Because of backward revisions – the year-over-year import and export prices were little changed from where we thought we were last month. Import Oil prices were down 0.6 % month-over-month, and export agricultural prices were up 0.6 %….

Tax Cut And Budget Balance Mythologies

In the current discourse, there seems to be some amnesia with respect to when tax cuts occurred, why they occurred, and how they affected Federal budget deficits. Here is some data (read comments to this post. Figure 1: Federal budget balance as share of GDP (blue), cyclically adjusted budget balance as share of GDP (red), June 2017 estimates. NBER…

OPEC Oil Production Slides As Venezuela Output Tumbles

OPEC’s April monthly report was released this morning and unveiled more of the same: expectations of rising global demand (which will soon be dented as global growth fizzles, impacting the need for commodities, especially in China and EMs), coupled with declining production by OPEC producers (really Venezuela whose oil output is collapsing as the insolvent, hyperinflating state…