The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) was unchanged in September, holding steady at an annualized 5.0% — matching the estimate in the previous month. The performance forecast for GMI (an unmanaged market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes) reflects premium over the projection for the “risk-free” rate for the long run. Adjusting…

It’s all about data. The decentralized web is underway – or so we would like to believe Sir Tim Berners-Lee as he sets forth on his new adventure Solid as he builds a new open-source platform that aims to let users take control of their data. He gets serious as he takes a sabbatical from MIT for Solid. This…

Previous: On Monday the 1st of October, trading on the euro closed down. The rate rose to 1.1625 during the European session before dropping to 1.1564 in the US. I found the market’s behaviour confusing yesterday given that the euro dropped against the dollar on the back of positive news concerning Brexit, a rise in oil…

RBA leaving rates unchanged until 2019 will widen the rate differential between Australia and the US, short AUD/USD?  RBA has kept its neutral bias, suggesting rates could remain unchanged until mid-2019. RBA Governor Philip Lowe left rates unchanged for the 26th month in a row at a record low of 1.5%. Lowe stated that even though…

Overview: The US dollar is rising against most of the major and emerging market currencies. The Swiss franc and the Japanese yen are the exceptions and are holding their own. Global equities are mixed. Asia, excluding Japan, was mostly lower, with 1.2% losses in Taiwan and South Korea and 2.5% drop in Hong Kong and…