Finance

Will The Euro Survive By 2021?

The results of the Italian election is just starting to sink in. The rise of comedian Beppo Grillo to Italy’s most successful politician, who won 32.7% of the popular voted compared to Merkel winning 32.8% in the German election.  Following the election on March 4th, Grillo’s “five-star” party took by far the first place. Brussels…

Will The Euro Survive By 2021?

The results of the Italian election is just starting to sink in. The rise of comedian Beppo Grillo to Italy’s most successful politician, who won 32.7% of the popular voted compared to Merkel winning 32.8% in the German election.  Following the election on March 4th, Grillo’s “five-star” party took by far the first place. Brussels…

AUD/USD Daily Analysis – Wednesday, March 28

AUD/USD is facing 0.7672 support, a breakdown below this level could signal resumption of the downtrend from 0.7916, then further decline towards 0.7600 could be seen. The key resistance is at 0.7785, a break of this level would indicate that lengthier consolidation for the downtrend from 0.8135 (Jan 26 high) is underway, then further rally…

The Market’s Red Flags Are Waving Again

Last week we pointed out how utilities stocks – a market safe-haven – were exhibiting some amazing strength while everything else was falling apart. It was a hint that investors were thinking a pullback was looming, and if they’re thinking it, they may well eventually make it happen. The thesis turned out to be right…

France And Germany Clash Over US Car Tariffs

With several weeks remaining until steel and aluminum tariffs introduced a few weeks ago by the Trump administration take effect, the US and its largest trading partners are mired in behind-the-scenes negotiations to strike a deal that could win them an exemption from some or all of the tariffs. And while recent leaks have focused…

The Opportunity In The Extremes For Silver

At the beginning of the month, I described what I called “maximum bearishness for silver.” For the first time in at least 10 years, speculators flipped net bearish on silver. At the same time, speculators remained quite bullish on gold. I decided to initiate a pairs trade going long iShares Silver Trust (SLV) calls and…

How To Exploit An Inefficient Market

The Efficient Market Hypothesis is a mainstay of academic thinking about financial markets. It is rejected by many traders and money managers. Warren Buffett, for example, famously said that he would be on a corner, selling pencils from a tin cup if markets were efficient. I do not expect to settle this decades-long debate in a single…