Finance

Euro Sinks After Disappointing Surveys

The common currency Euro had earlier struck a fresh 5-week peak versus the US Dollar as concerns that a global trade war had been brewing now seem to be receding. That had pushed investors to flock back into higher yielding assets which provided the Euro with solid gains since Monday. The latest data from the…

Buy Bank, Gold, & Silver Stocks

I’ve predicted that in 2018 the US stock market would suffer a series of crashes somewhat akin to the 1987 event, but smaller in size. Clearly, these mini-crashes are starting to happen.  Having said that, I haven’t sold any of my US bank stocks and I have no plans to do so.  To understand why…

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey Slows In March 2018

Of the five regional Federal Reserve surveys released to date, all are in expansion.  Analyst Opinion of Richmond Manufacturing The important Richmond Fed subcategories significantly decelerated, The internals are much worse than last month. Market expectations from Bloomberg / Econoday was 15 to 28 (consensus 22). The actual survey value was 15 [note that values…

EUR/USD Does Not Have Much Support After The Fall

According to the Technical Confluences Indicator, the EUR/USD may find solid support only at around $1.2330. The area is a dense cluster of technical lines: Fibo 38.2% 1w, the SMA200-h1, the SMA50-4h, the SMA200-4h, the SMA5-1d, Bolinger Band 1d-Middle Stdv 2.2, the Fibo 38.2% one month, the SMA10-1d, and the SMA50-1d. The significant confluence makes it a…

USD/JPY Price Outlook: Is A Low In Place?

The Japanese Yen has pared some of its recent gains with USD/JPY now probing initial resistance on this rebound. The question remains on whether a low is in after price reversed off a cleared measured objective this week- the focus is on possible failure just higher with the pullback to offer clarity on whether this advance is…

Trade Surplus And Budget Deficit? Ouch

The market gyrations of late are interesting, especially during the NCAA Basketball tourney. Normally, volatility declines when these games are on during the week, as traders watch their brackets as much as they do the market (I’ve seen quantitative analysis that says this isn’t actually true, but I’m skeptical since I’ve been there and I…