The markets are an incredible aggregator of information. However, because of a tsunami of information, sometimes investors have difficulty in distinguishing the signal from noise. Let us try to help. Here we look at three cases in which it seems many investors maybe confusing the noise for the signal. First, the Chicago Federal Reserve President Evans, a…
Candy Crush in motion. Photo Credit: King In a November 2013 TechCrunch post titled “Welcome To The Unicorn Club,” Aileen Lee from Cowboy Ventures defined the term ‘unicorn’ as a company with a public or private market valuation of more than $1 billion. Since then, the term invaded the startup community lexicon and companies with more than…
Private nonfarm payrolls in the US are projected to increase by 247,000 (seasonally adjusted) in tomorrow’s December update from the Labor Department, based on The Capital Spectator’s median point forecast for several econometric estimates. The monthly prediction reflects a substantial deceleration in growth vs. November’s 314,000 gain. Two estimates based on recent surveys of economists…
There will always be boom and bust cycles within an economy. However, on occasion, the cycle turns into inflated bubbles. These bubbles have been fueled by too easy of monetary policies from global central banks such as the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, European central bank, etc. They are often further inflated through financial…
There will always be boom and bust cycles within an economy. However, on occasion, the cycle turns into inflated bubbles. These bubbles have been fueled by too easy of monetary policies from global central banks such as the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, European central bank, etc. They are often further inflated through financial…
Here is the opening statement from the Department of Labor: In the week ending January 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 294,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 298,000. The 4-week moving average was 290,500, a decrease of 250 from the previous week’s unrevised average of…
Initial claims dropped 4k on the week but missed expectations, printing 294k (vs 290k exp). This is a level first seen in July 2014 as the trend of improvement has ended for claims (the biggest 3 month rise in over a year). Layoffs were dominated by MI where manufacturing and waste management industries suffered (and Texas saw…
