Note from dshort: Here is my monthly update with extrapolated data since the most recent Fed Z.1 report (through Q2). However, I’ll post a new update on December 11th, an hour or two after the Federal Reserve’s noon release of the Q3 Z.1 release. The Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value…
TOKYO–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. is pleased to announce an agreement with Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(AVNR) (“Avanir”) in which Otsuka America, Inc., a US subsidiary, acquires Avanir for USD 3.5 billion in an all-cash tender offer. The contract was signed on December 2, Japan time. Avanir Pharmaceuticals Avanir is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in CNS diseases….
Since 2010, our top scoring weekly has outpaced the SPX by a median 376 bps in the following year. The best performers from our list one year ago are RCL up 74%, FB up 65%, MU up 65%, AAPL up 50%, and HPQ up 45%. The best large cap sector is healthcare The top large…
The following interview of Mr. William Gibbs was conducted by phone and email on November 28-29. Mr. Gibbs is CEO of American Sands Energy, [AMSE] an unconventional oil producer proposing to extract oil sands in Utah. The company expects to be in production of up to 9,000 barrels of oil per day within 2-3 years. Please give readers…
After yielding ground yesterday, the US dollar comes back bid today. The main driver is the divergence that favors the US. Specifically, yesterday two people we have identified as part of the troika at the Federal Reserve, from where policy signals emanate, played down the disinflationary threat of the fall in oil, saying it would likely…
After yielding ground yesterday, the US dollar comes back bid today. The main driver is the divergence that favors the US. Specifically, yesterday two people we have identified as part of the troika at the Federal Reserve, from where policy signals emanate, played down the disinflationary threat of the fall in oil, saying it would likely…
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ14 +0.23%) this morning are up +0.17% and European stocks are unchanged after falling back from a 2-1/4 month high as China led a rally in emerging markets on speculation a slowdown in growth will prod China into expanding stimulus. The Russian ruble held near a record low against…
We closed above the 1217 level suggesting we will press a bit higher. We now need a closing above 1220 to signal a rally is possible up to the 1255 to 1275 area. We need a year-end closing above 1310 to shift gold into a neutral position. A number of emails have poured in asking…
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to fall in November. GMI, an unmanaged, market-value weighted mix of the major asset classes, is currently expected to earn an annualized 3.9% over the “risk-free” rate for the long term (for details on the methodology, see summary below). Today’s forecast is slightly below last month’s 4.0%…
EUR/USD Signal Update Yesterday’s signal to go short after a bearish rejection of the 1.2503 level was triggered. Look to protect profit or take partial profits at the first short-term bullish candlestick after the price reaches 1.2420. Levels at 1.2405 and 1.2360 make realistic near-term targets. Today’s EUR/USD Signals Risk 0.75% All trades must be entered…
