Chart Of The Day: 3-Month Treasury Yield Surpasses S&P 500 Yield

For the first time in a decade, the yield on three-month treasuries exceeds that of S&P 500 dividends.

The above chart is from the Financial Times article Authers' Note: Hunting for yields is getting easier.

John Authers also notes the “Dividend Aristocrats” of the S&P 500 — the stocks with the highest and most reliable dividend yields — are finding that they now have competition from 2-year Treasury bonds.

Authers makes a number of interesting points.

  • The Beige Book features far more references to inflation than it did when inflation was last persistently above the Fed's target.
  • The intensity of references to inflation on the Google search engine is moving up.
  • Net share buybacks have been negligible. It looks like the bulk of last quarter's repurchases went on stock options.
  • It's increasingly easy to stick with my prognosis: Inflation is in the Rear-View Mirror.

    The Nearly Unanimous Opinion: Inflation Has Arrived, reinforced today, adds to my conviction.

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