Wednesday was all about China.
“China?! China.”
U.S. investors woke up to the news that Beijing is considering “slowing or halting” Treasury purchases and the knee-jerk reaction was visible everywhere. Yields spiked (only to completely retrace as Treasurys pared losses following a solid 10Y auction):
Gold rose:
The dollar careened lower and EURUSD jumped (one natural way for the Chinese to diversify would be to increase their allocation of euro debt):
And futs dipped:
You'll note that China may be reminding Trump that they have a way to fight back in the event the administration gets “tough” on trade. For more on what very well could be going on in the minds of the Politburo, see here.
But as indicated in the ES chart above, the China headlines weren't the only notable news on Wednesday. Late in the session, we got this:
Well needless to say, that weighed on the peso and the loonie:
Which in turn changed the decision calculus for Poloz:
Odds of a BoC hike next week go from 84% to 64% pic.twitter.com/KEIKcGCVNz
— Luke Kawa (@LJKawa) January 10, 2018
But then we got this:
Which I suppose means Trump thinks this about Trudeau:
GM had a helluva hard time figuring that schizophrenic shit out:
Oil chopped around after the EIA number (large draw, but meager compared to API) but ultimately ended up higher, extending a run that has crude sitting at a more than three-year peak:
European shares closed lower after failing to recover from declines seen around the China headline:
Oh, and the Hang Seng has risen for 12 straight sessions. That would be the longest streak since it was launched in 1969:
