Closing Out 2017 & Looking Forward To 2018

A selloff in the final trading minutes of the year pushed stocks into the red for the shortened holiday week. stocks lagged for the week, led by Apple after some analysts suggested demand for the iPhone X was lower than expected and there was backlash against throttling performance of older phones. The market's muted reaction in the first full week of trading after the passage of the tax bill suggests most of the benefits were widely expected and are likely already baked into prices.

Weekly Returns


FTSE All-World ex-US: (+0.6%)
US 10 Year Treasury Yield: 2.41% (-0.07%)
Gold: $1,303 (+2.2%)
EUR/USD: $1.120 (+1.2%)

Major Events

  • Wednesday –JPMorgan Chase agreed to pay $2.8 million to settle charges that it failed to segregate client assets from its own.
  • Wednesday – The Wall Street Journal reported many comments posted about the DOL Fiduciary rule were fake. It is unclear who made the posts but most were critical of the rule.
  • Thursday – Doug Jones became the first Democrat in 25 years to be confirmed as a Senator of Alabama.
  • Friday – President Trump tweeted that the USPS should charge more for delivering packages for Amazon and others.
  • Friday – Pershing Square and Valeant agreed to a $290 million settlement regarding improper trading before a 2014 bid for Allergan.
  • Our Take

    For those invested in a strategic long-term allocation, this was rewarding and stress-free. We don't see any immediate catalyst for what would cause volatility to rise to more normal levels, but we suggest investors be ready for it to happen eventually. 2017 was also a good year for many stock-pickers. The trendiest names, such as Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Netflix and Tesla were all up around 50%. This makes the new year a great time to revisit allocations and ensure your strategy fits your long term goals and risk tolerance. Historically, most stock pickers and market timers don't fare well over full market cycles and sector rotation can happen quickly and intensely.

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