Here is this morning's market update from JPM's Adam Crisafulli
It's hard to imagine an uglier morning. The two things markets hate most right now (neg. central bank rates and bad bank headlines) occurred overnight as the Riksbank dropped its rate further into neg. territory and SocGen put up bad earnings/guidance.
The combination of those two events, coupled w/very fragile sentiment, extreme risk aversion (a function of enormous P&L destruction YTD), Yellen's testimony (which wasn't sufficiently dovish or concerned about financial market volatility from the perspective of markets), and CSCO's cautious macro commentary, are weighing very hard on equities so far Thurs morning.
The main Eurozone indices (SX5E and SXXP) are both down “3% today, “6% WTD, and —16% YTD. The SX7P Eurozone bank index is off >5% today, —10% WTD, and nearly 30% YTD.
Ironically, some of the worst carnage in months is occurring while China is shut and the Yuan has been rallying (the CNH has been creeping higher over the last few days, albeit on very thin volumes).
Trying to divine the end of the rout is difficult given the globe is in the midst of a series of tightly intertwined, self-reinforcing, and correlated trades and narratives (i.e. oil slumps and drags inflation down with it which prompts CBs to ratchet up accommodation which sinks banks which crushes general market sentiment and the overall price declines tighten financial market conditions and scares corporate execs and actual economic activity begins to deteriorate).
A lot of the price action feels very forced and perfunctory but that doesn't make it any less real or painful.
