Netflix Is Spending To Grow
Let's also look at the latest numbers and then review some analysis of the stock. EPS was 64 cents which met expectations. The current EPS doesn't matter much to the stock because the multiple is incredibly high whether it beats by a few pennies or doesn't. The consensus forecast for 2019 is $4.29 which means the 2019 PE multiple is 78. Revenue was $3.7 billion which slightly beat estimates for $3.69 billion. As I mentioned, the stock trades on streaming adds. Net adds were 7.41 million which beat estimates for 6.5 million. That sent the stock up 9.19% on Tuesday. Domestic adds were 1.96 million which beat estimates for 1.48 million; international net adds were 5.46 million which beat estimates for 5.02 million. Free cash flow was negative $287 million as the firm reinvests its subscriber revenue back into new content.
The chart below gives a complete summary of the recent reports. As you can see, the total subscriber growth quarter over quarter can be inconsistent. The bad news is that sometimes Netflix is bullish, but results miss estimates. The good news is subscribers are up 50% from last year which shows how powerful the brand and the service are. The key differentiation Netflix has is the ability to pick great original content and match users with the shows they are most likely to binge watch. The ultimate goal is to have the collection of content be worth more than the cost. Getting users to pay for those differentiation points make Netflix a valuable business.