People say that, “Everybody loves a winner.” If that is true, then investors must have really been loving their utility company shares in 2014.
Total return on the normally stodgy group had been beating the major indices even before Christmas week. In the three and a half-day holiday-shortened week they added an amazing 3.56%, more than four times the period's gain in the S&P 500 (SPX).
The industry group is now more than two standard deviations above normal. Statisticians will tell you the odds of a pullback are more than 90%. The, very predictable, 10% – 25% potential loss in value could wipe out years of dividend payments.
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