S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook; Markets Looking To Close Year Strong

S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook; Markets Looking to Close Year Strong

Talking Points:

  • DAX remains idle in a range, waiting for a break – general risk appetite favors a breakout
  • FTSE may make a move on new record highs in the week ahead
  • Last week, the Fed raised rates by 25-bps as anticipated, expects three rate increases in 2018. Looking ahead to next week the calendar is fairly light with Q3 GDP on Thursday and Durable Goods Orders, Core PCE on Friday. For details of all upcoming events this coming week, check out the economic calendar. Watch for a gap on Monday in reaction to the release of the tax bill.

    hold above 2625 on weakness, keeping the multi-month higher-high, higher-low sequence in place.

    S&P 500, DAX & FTSE Outlook; Markets Looking to Close Year Strong

    DAX

    Last week, the ECB made no changes to its and markets showed a fairly muted response to the meeting's outcome. Looking to the calendar in the week ahead there aren't any ‘high' impact events, with only ‘low' to ‘medium' data on the docket.

    Technically speaking, the DAX remains well contained within a volatile trading range. The index has made no net movement over the course of a month. This leaves us with a neutral outlook until it can break free. Risk trends favor the top-side, but the euro may have different to say if it can get into gear again and rally. If the euro declines, though, both risk trends and currency-impact will be favorable for a top-side breakout to sustain. A clean daily close into the 13200s will have attention on the record highs at 13525. It would require a break below 12810 for the market to find sellers, but a decline could be halted quickly as the June 2016 trend-line and 200-day come into view below.

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