Tentative Breakouts Fail To Hang On

Markets had started Friday above the marked consolidations I had drawn on the charts but subsequently ended the week still inside these trading ranges. As a two-day pattern, Friday's close finished as a bearish engulfing pattern across markets which means I'll be looking for a break of newly drawn ascending support (of the last 8 days) in these indices.


 


 

The Russell 2000 actually managed to clear its consolidation, its 20-day and 50-day MAs. Unlike other indices, there was no drop back inside the consolidation. In addition, relative performance continued to improve. All this suggests a bullish outlook but I have also drawn in a possible ‘bearish wedge' too.
 

As for other indices, the Dow Jones Index reversed from channel resistance in what is a good shorting opportunity. Risk is measured on a break above 24,650 with a target of the lower channel.
 

For Monday, look for a break of Friday's lows. A weak open will present a shorting opportunity which could last a few days – if not a few weeks. Decisive moves above 20-day/50-day MAs on volume will negate the short play.

 

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